SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cerro Largo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro Largo |
30.4% ( -1.74) | 28.21% ( -0.28) | 41.39% ( 2.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.1% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.15% ( 0.54) | 59.85% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.87% ( 0.41) | 80.13% ( -0.41) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.44% ( -0.99) | 35.56% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.68% ( -1.04) | 72.32% ( 1.04) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.54% ( 1.42) | 28.46% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.77% ( 1.75) | 64.23% ( -1.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.05% Total : 30.4% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.46)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.38% |
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