SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.57%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (11.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
36.06% ( -0.01) | 28.71% ( -0.05) | 35.23% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.7% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.18% ( 0.16) | 60.82% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.14% ( 0.12) | 80.86% ( -0.12) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.87% ( 0.08) | 32.13% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.39% ( 0.09) | 68.61% ( -0.09) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% ( 0.12) | 32.66% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.79% ( 0.13) | 69.21% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 36.05% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.57% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.23% |
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