SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 43.73%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 27.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Deportivo Maldonado in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
27.73% ( -0.04) | 28.54% ( 0) | 43.73% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 43.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.09% ( -0.02) | 61.91% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.33% ( -0.02) | 81.67% ( 0.02) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.2% ( -0.04) | 38.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.46% ( -0.04) | 75.54% ( 0.04) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( 0.01) | 28.17% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.14% ( 0.01) | 63.86% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 27.72% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 13.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 43.72% |
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