Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
20.82% ( -0.07) | 26.74% ( -0.1) | 52.43% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 42.44% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.37% ( 0.25) | 60.63% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.28% ( 0.19) | 80.72% ( -0.19) |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.37% ( 0.08) | 44.62% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.37% ( 0.06) | 80.63% ( -0.06) |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.18) | 23.35% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.68% ( 0.26) | 57.32% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.93% 2-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.82% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 15.15% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 52.42% |
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