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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Feb 17, 2021 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
CL

Penarol
1 - 1
Cerro Largo

Borges (90+5')
Beltran (54'), Baez (72'), Cayetano (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
A (16')
Alvarez (5'), Britos (70')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 28.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 1-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawCerro Largo
28.62%28.6%42.78%
Both teams to score 44.28%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.26%61.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.45%81.55%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.02%37.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.25%74.75%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.39%28.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.59%64.41%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 28.62%
    Cerro Largo 42.77%
    Draw 28.59%
PenarolDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 6.37%
2-0 @ 5.09%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 28.62%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.59%
0-1 @ 13.59%
0-2 @ 8.51%
1-2 @ 8.24%
0-3 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.11%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 42.77%

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