Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
