Fenix
2 - 1
Progreso

Barboza (42'), Estoyanoff (89')
Estoyanoff (84'), Souza (85'), Scorza (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alles (90+6')
Alles (60'), Cancela Vignolo (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Fenix and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Fenix	Draw	Progreso
28.15%	26.75%	45.1%

Both teams to score 49.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.51%

55.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33%

76.67%

Fenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.04%

34.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.3%

71.7%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.49%

24.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.02%

58.98%

Score Analysis

Fenix 28.15%

Progreso 45.09%

Draw 26.75%

Fenix	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 9.01% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-0 @ 1.66% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.15%	1-1 @ 12.66% 0-0 @ 8.57% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 12.04% 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-2 @ 8.47% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.49% Total : 45.09%