SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Fenix |
| 51.25% | 25.09% | 23.66% |
| Both teams to score 50.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.82% | 52.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.11% | 73.89% |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% | 20.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.23% | 52.77% |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.03% | 36.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.24% | 73.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 11.97% 2-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 5.06% 3-1 @ 5.03% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.64% Total : 51.24% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 7.49% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.73% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.57% 0-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.66% |
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