Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.