Progreso
3 - 1
Wanderers

Rodriguez (21'), Bentaberry (27'), Colman (61')
Rodriguez (62'), Andrada (68'), Romero (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Riolfo (12')
Riolfo (56'), Hernandez (71'), Wagner (84')
Hernandez (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Montevideo Wanderers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.

Result
Progreso	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
37.75%	28.71%	33.54%

Both teams to score 45.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.08%

60.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.07%

80.93%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88%

31.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.56%

67.44%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.14%

33.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.48%

70.52%

Score Analysis

Progreso 37.74%

Montevideo Wanderers 33.53%

Draw 28.7%

Progreso	Draw	Montevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.29% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 3.04% Total : 37.74%	1-1 @ 13.32% 0-0 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 4.21% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.7%	0-1 @ 11.4% 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.53%