Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Sud America.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Sud America had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.25%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Sud America win it was 0-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
