Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.