Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.43%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
