SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 46.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Fenix |
| 46.83% | 27.47% | 25.7% |
| Both teams to score 45.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.58% | 59.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.21% | 79.79% |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.57% | 25.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.76% | 60.24% |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.84% | 39.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.13% | 75.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% 2-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-0 @ 4.26% 3-1 @ 4% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.15% Total : 46.82% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.96% 2-2 @ 4.1% Other @ 0.63% Total : 27.47% | 0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.47% Total : 25.7% |
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