Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Fenix |
38.15% ( 0.12) | 28.57% ( 0.03) | 33.27% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 45.89% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.5% ( -0.14) | 60.49% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.38% ( -0.1) | 80.61% ( 0.1) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.34% ( 0.01) | 30.65% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.09% ( 0.01) | 66.9% ( -0.01) |
Fenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.18% ( -0.18) | 33.82% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.51% ( -0.2) | 70.48% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Fenix |
1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 33.26% |
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