SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.09%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.99%) and 1-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (13.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Cerro Largo |
33.37% ( 0.02) | 31.54% ( -0.01) | 35.09% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.25% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.37% ( 0.02) | 69.63% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.01% ( 0.02) | 86.99% ( -0.02) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.23% ( 0.03) | 38.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.5% ( 0.03) | 75.5% ( -0.03) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% ( 0) | 37.53% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% ( 0) | 74.31% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% 2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0)2-1 @ 6.4% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.57% Total : 33.36% | 0-0 @ 14.55% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)Other @ 0.34% Total : 31.54% | 0-1 @ 14.25% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( -0)1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.16% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 35.08% |
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