SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenix win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Fenix |
28.14% ( 0.92) | 26.48% ( 0.18) | 45.38% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.54% ( -0.16) | 54.46% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.17% ( -0.14) | 75.83% ( 0.14) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( 0.64) | 34.42% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.87% ( 0.68) | 71.13% ( -0.67) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( -0.59) | 23.93% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.85% ( -0.85) | 58.15% ( 0.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.14% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.37% |
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