SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Liverpool win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Liverpool |
57.17% ( -0.16) | 23.87% ( 0.05) | 18.95% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 47.42% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.41% ( -0.06) | 52.59% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.75% ( -0.05) | 74.24% ( 0.05) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.79% ( -0.08) | 18.21% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.78% ( -0.14) | 49.22% ( 0.14) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.98% ( 0.09) | 42.02% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.55% ( 0.08) | 78.45% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 13.03% 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 57.16% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 18.95% |
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