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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
38.78% ( -1.25) | 26.87% ( 0.16) | 34.35% ( 1.08) |
| Both teams to score 51.18% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( -0.47) | 53.96% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( -0.4) | 75.4% ( 0.4) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.88% ( -0.91) | 27.12% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.49% ( -1.2) | 62.51% ( 1.2) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.23% ( 0.47) | 29.77% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.15% ( 0.56) | 65.84% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.17)2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.08% Total : 38.78% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.86% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.35% |
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