SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Fenix |
37.14% ( -0.21) | 29.02% ( -0.09) | 33.84% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 44.73% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.05% ( 0.31) | 61.95% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.3% ( 0.23) | 81.7% ( -0.23) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( 0.03) | 32.02% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% ( 0.03) | 68.49% ( -0.03) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.81% ( 0.37) | 34.19% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.11% ( 0.39) | 70.89% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Fenix |
| 1-0 @ 12.46% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 7.62% 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.13% | 1-1 @ 13.38% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.01% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 33.84% |
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