SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 35.07% | 27.76% | 37.17% |
| Both teams to score 48.49% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.62% | 57.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.8% | 78.2% |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.98% | 31.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.67% | 67.33% |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% | 29.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.23% | 65.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.06% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 11.18% 1-2 @ 7.95% 0-2 @ 6.79% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.17% |
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