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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2021 at 9.45pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera
CL

Wanderers
1 - 2
Cerro Largo

Hernandez (4')
Izquierdo (17'), Aguirre (57'), Petryk (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Max (45'), Di Yorio (54')
Martinez (35'), Enrique (84'), Otormin (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawCerro Largo
35.07%27.76%37.17%
Both teams to score 48.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.62%57.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.8%78.2%
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98%31.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67%67.33%
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29%29.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23%65.77%
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 35.06%
    Cerro Largo 37.17%
    Draw 27.76%
Montevideo WanderersDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 10.78%
2-1 @ 7.66%
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.46%
3-2 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.06%
1-1 @ 13.09%
0-0 @ 9.22%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 11.18%
1-2 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.79%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 1.88%
1-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.17%

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