Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.