SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Nacional |
| 28.07% | 26.79% | 45.13% |
| Both teams to score 48.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.32% | 55.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.17% | 76.83% |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.88% | 35.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.13% | 71.87% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% | 24.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.93% | 59.07% |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo Wanderers | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.1% Total : 28.07% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.79% | 0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.46% Total : 45.13% |
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