Wanderers
1 - 0
Nacional

Aguirre (42')
Veglio (26'), Pais (79'), Wagner (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Candido (22'), Fernandez (75'), Zunino (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Nacional
28.07%	26.79%	45.13%

Both teams to score 48.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.32%

55.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.17%

76.83%

Montevideo Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.88%

35.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.13%

71.87%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42%

24.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93%

59.07%

Score Analysis

Montevideo Wanderers 28.07%

Nacional 45.13%

Draw 26.79%

Montevideo Wanderers	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 9.03% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 4.73% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.1% Total : 28.07%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.79%	0-1 @ 12.11% 1-2 @ 8.89% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 4.16% 0-3 @ 3.98% 2-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.46% Total : 45.13%