Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
