Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.