Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Nacional |
21.45% (![]() | 26.51% (![]() | 52.04% (![]() |
Both teams to score 43.78% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.7% (![]() | 59.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.3% (![]() | 79.7% (![]() |
Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.82% (![]() | 43.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.56% (![]() | 79.44% (![]() |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.04% (![]() | 22.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.26% (![]() | 56.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 8.32% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.01% Total : 21.45% | 1-1 @ 12.25% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.79% ( ![]() Other @ 0.56% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 14.58% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.73% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: