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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Apr 20, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
6 - 2
Rampla

Castro (3', 45+5'), Recoba (13'), Pereyra (56'), Bentancourt (83'), Zabala (87')
Santander (9')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mendez (75'), Rosa (80')
Gorga (45+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Rampla Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-2 Nacional
Wednesday, April 17 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 0-1 Racing
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRampla Juniors
56.19% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 24.93% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 18.88% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 44.42% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.46% (0.134 0.13)56.54% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.47% (0.106 0.11)77.53% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (0.079000000000008 0.08)20.09% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (0.128 0.13)52.34% (-0.13 -0.13)
Rampla Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.59% (0.049999999999997 0.05)44.41% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.54% (0.039999999999999 0.04)80.46% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 56.19%
    Rampla Juniors 18.88%
    Draw 24.92%
NacionalDrawRampla Juniors
1-0 @ 14.32% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.15% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 56.19%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.92% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.24% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 18.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-2 Nacional
Wednesday, April 17 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-0 Nacional
Friday, April 12 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, April 6 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Libertad
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Nacional
Friday, March 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Nacional 0-0 Progreso
Saturday, March 23 at 9.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 0-1 Racing
Sunday, April 14 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 3-0 Rampla
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 1-0 Fenix
Saturday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Progreso 4-2 Rampla
Wednesday, March 27 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rampla 1-1 Miramar Misiones
Saturday, March 23 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Rampla
Monday, March 11 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division


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