Nacional
1 - 1
Maldonado

Carballo (52')
Suarez (40'), Bergessio (45+3'), Rodriguez (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Batista (38')
Pagano (40'), Agustin Sant'Anna Quintero (90+6')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Deportivo Maldonado.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
45.24%	26.41%	28.35%

Both teams to score 50.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.92%

54.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.5%

75.51%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.17%

23.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42%

58%

Deportivo Maldonado Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.95%

34.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27%

70.73%

Score Analysis

Nacional 45.23%

Deportivo Maldonado 28.35%

Draw 26.4%

Nacional	Draw	Deportivo Maldonado
1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.54% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.69% Total : 45.23%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.11% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.4%	0-1 @ 8.74% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.35%