Boston River
1 - 1
Nacional

W (42' pen.)
(63'), Rodriguez (70'), Flores (90'), (90+3')
Flores (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Castro (49')
Corujo (21'), Bergessio (41')
Castro (66')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 16.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.92%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Boston River	Draw	Nacional
16.57%	22.87%	60.56%

Both teams to score 46.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87%

52.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15%

73.85%

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.36%

44.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.36%

80.64%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.17%

16.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.18%

46.82%

Score Analysis

Boston River 16.57%

Nacional 60.54%

Draw 22.86%

Boston River	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 6.06% 2-1 @ 4.36% 2-0 @ 2.44% 3-1 @ 1.17% 3-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.5% Total : 16.57%	1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 7.51% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.68% Total : 22.86%	0-1 @ 13.38% 0-2 @ 11.92% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-3 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 5.72% 0-4 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 2.55% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-5 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 1.03% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.75% Total : 60.54%