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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Oct 9, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Complejo Deportivo Rentistas
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Rentistas
0 - 1
Penarol


Acevedo (40'), Morales (64'), Varela (66'), Sosa (79'), Viudez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (3')
Rodriguez (35'), Pereira (61'), Musto (72')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Rentistas and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 20.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.46%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Rentistas win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
RentistasDrawPenarol
20.76%24.4%54.84%
Both teams to score 48.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57%52.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89%74.11%
Rentistas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05%39.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.4%76.6%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97%19.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39%50.6%
Score Analysis
    Rentistas 20.76%
    Penarol 54.83%
    Draw 24.4%
RentistasDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 6.98%
2-1 @ 5.31%
2-0 @ 3.2%
3-1 @ 1.62%
3-2 @ 1.35%
3-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 20.76%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 7.6%
2-2 @ 4.41%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 12.61%
0-2 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-3 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 5.31%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-4 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 2.2%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 54.83%

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