SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.84%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Penarol |
| 14.11% | 21.6% | 64.29% |
| Both teams to score 44.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% | 51.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% | 73.26% |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.34% | 47.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.02% | 82.98% |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% | 15.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.9% | 44.11% |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Penarol |
| 1-0 @ 5.42% 2-1 @ 3.76% 2-0 @ 2.01% 3-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.99% Total : 14.11% | 1-1 @ 10.15% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.59% | 0-1 @ 13.7% 0-2 @ 12.84% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 8.03% 1-3 @ 5.95% 0-4 @ 3.76% 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-5 @ 1.41% 1-5 @ 1.05% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2% Total : 64.28% |
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