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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Oct 17, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Domingo BurgueƱo Miguel
P

Maldonado
1 - 0
Penarol

Ramos (26')
Lima (62'), Casas (76'), Conechny (81'), Darias (82'), Tealde (86'), Ramos (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alvarez (64'), Gargano (65'), Bentancourt (82'), Gaitan (90+3')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 64.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 14.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.84%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawPenarol
14.11%21.6%64.29%
Both teams to score 44.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55%51.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74%73.26%
Deportivo Maldonado Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.34%47.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.02%82.98%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.66%15.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.9%44.11%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo Maldonado 14.11%
    Penarol 64.28%
    Draw 21.59%
Deportivo MaldonadoDrawPenarol
1-0 @ 5.42%
2-1 @ 3.76%
2-0 @ 2.01%
3-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 14.11%
1-1 @ 10.15%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 3.53%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 13.7%
0-2 @ 12.84%
1-2 @ 9.52%
0-3 @ 8.03%
1-3 @ 5.95%
0-4 @ 3.76%
1-4 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-5 @ 1.41%
1-5 @ 1.05%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2%
Total : 64.28%

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