Penarol
3 - 1
Torque

Torres (41', 55'), Alvarez (64')
Gonzalez (34'), Canobbio (70'), Kagelmacher (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brun (89')
Fernandez (79'), Teuten (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Montevideo City Torque.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
45.32%	26.48%	28.19%

Both teams to score 49.91%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.55%

54.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.18%

75.81%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.05%

23.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.82%

58.17%

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.63%

34.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.92%

71.07%

Score Analysis

Penarol 45.32%

Montevideo City Torque 28.19%

Draw 26.48%

Penarol	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 8.41% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 4.01% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.32%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 4.8% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.48%	0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 6.71% 0-2 @ 4.69% 1-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.71% 0-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.19%