Boston River
2 - 5
Penarol

Davila (10'), Labandeira (79')
Lozano (16'), Rodriguez (28')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Nahuelpan (17' pen., 35'), Canobbio (53'), Torres (62'), Lozano (86' og.)
Alvarez (22'), Elizalde (27'), Canobbio (54'), Rodriguez (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Boston River and Penarol.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Boston River had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Boston River win it was 1-0 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Boston River	Draw	Penarol
18.71%	23.87%	57.42%

Both teams to score 47.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.13%

52.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.52%

74.48%

Boston River Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.54%

42.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.17%

78.83%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.78%

18.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.76%

49.24%

Score Analysis

Boston River 18.71%

Penarol 57.42%

Draw 23.86%

Boston River	Draw	Penarol
1-0 @ 6.63% 2-1 @ 4.83% 2-0 @ 2.84% 3-1 @ 1.38% 3-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.86% Total : 18.71%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 4.12% Other @ 0.73% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 13.17% 0-2 @ 11.21% 1-2 @ 9.61% 0-3 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 5.45% 0-4 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 2.32% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.34% Total : 57.42%