Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 44.38%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 27.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.77%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 1-0 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
