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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Profesor Alberto Suppici

Plaza Colonia
2 - 1
Cerro

Dibble (57'), Perez (60')
Perez (45+1'), Dibble (77'), (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tancredi (65')
Garcia (17'), Moreira (78'), (90+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Plaza Colonia and Cerro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Plaza ColoniaDrawCerro
31.85%28.54%39.6%
Both teams to score 45.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.38%60.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.29%80.7%
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.11%34.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.37%71.62%
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.15%29.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.06%65.94%
Score Analysis
    Plaza Colonia 31.85%
    Cerro 39.6%
    Draw 28.53%
Plaza ColoniaDrawCerro
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 5.77%
3-1 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.85%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.41%
2-2 @ 4.22%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 12.59%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 7.61%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 1.7%
1-4 @ 0.98%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 39.6%

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