Cerro
2 - 2
Progreso

Lopez (34'), Cabrera (77')
Lopez (27'), Lacoste (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Riquero (39'), Vidal (88')
Sosa (18'), Peraza (78'), Laens (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Progreso.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Cerro	Draw	Progreso
34.2%	27.71%	38.09%

Both teams to score 48.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.75%

57.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9%

78.1%

Cerro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48%

31.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.09%

67.91%

Progreso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.91%

29.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.99%

65.01%

Score Analysis

Cerro 34.19%

Progreso 38.09%

Draw 27.71%

Cerro	Draw	Progreso
1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 7.55% 2-0 @ 6.11% 3-1 @ 2.9% 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.19%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.17% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 11.32% 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 6.99% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.09%