Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.