Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sud America win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sud America win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sud America would win this match.