Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Sud America win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerrito would win this match.