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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Oct 2, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Cerrito
2 - 0
Sud America

Silvera (59'), Scarone (65')
Rodriguez (46')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Olivera (77')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerrito and Sud America.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Sud America had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Sud America win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerrito would win this match.

Result
CerritoDrawSud America
39.37%29.06%31.58%
Both teams to score 44.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.59%62.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.96%82.04%
Cerrito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11%30.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83%67.17%
Sud America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94%36.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16%72.84%
Score Analysis
    Cerrito 39.36%
    Sud America 31.58%
    Draw 29.04%
CerritoDrawSud America
1-0 @ 13.08%
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 7.69%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-0 @ 3.01%
3-2 @ 1.57%
4-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.36%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 11.13%
2-2 @ 4%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.04%
0-1 @ 11.36%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 5.79%
1-3 @ 2.32%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 31.58%

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