Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.