Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 31.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.