Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villa Espanola win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villa Espanola win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.