Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
