Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rentistas in this match.