Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.
