Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.