Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
