Penarol
2 - 0
River Plate

Alvarez (18'), Torres (32')
Rodriguez (29'), Musto (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Rodriguez (47'), Borbas (58'), Montiel (61')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 20.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.

Result
Penarol	Draw	River Plate
54.82%	25.15%	20.04%

Both teams to score 45.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.99%

56.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9%

77.1%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57%

20.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.12%

52.88%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.21%

42.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.88%

79.12%

Score Analysis

Penarol 54.81%

River Plate 20.04%

Draw 25.14%

Penarol	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 13.88% 2-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 5.84% 3-1 @ 4.95% 4-0 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.37% Total : 54.81%	1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 8.74% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.65% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.42% 1-2 @ 5% 0-2 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 1.42% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.92% Total : 20.04%