Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pen-y-Bont win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pen-y-Bont win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
