SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Haverfordwest County | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Newtown AFC | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | The New Saints | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Flint Town United | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Haverfordwest County | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Flint Town United |
44.62% ( -1.6) | 25.54% ( 0.49) | 29.84% ( 1.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.82% ( -0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.16% ( -1.53) | 49.83% ( 1.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.17% ( -1.38) | 71.83% ( 1.38) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( -1.36) | 22.29% ( 1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.25% ( -2.09) | 55.75% ( 2.08) |
| Flint Town United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.27% ( 0.01) | 30.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.01% ( 0.02) | 66.99% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newtown AFC | Draw | Flint Town United |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.62% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.49) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.84% |
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