Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Flint Town United had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Flint Town United win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Caernarfon Town in this match.
